Permanently Stunted?

By 1870, all Confederate states have been re-admitted to the Union, and Reconstruction ends soon after. But no aid has been offered to help the South reconstruct its economy. Soldiers return home to a sorry sight.

It's hard to overstate the devastation that war has brought to the South. Nearly a quarter of military-age men are gone, and nearly half the livestock. The railroads are in ruin, and three of the five largest cities have burned.

Southern plantation owners are left dazed and confused. Without free slave labor, plantations can't turn a profit. And without profits from cotton, it will take the South 100 years to recover from the war.
Southern ruin, 1870

  Rebuild from What?
The South's decision to fight is a catastrophe. Southerners may have believed that Lincoln would just let them go, without a fight. But once it became clear he wouldn't, it would have been far wiser to just accept the eventual disappearance of slavery. Instead, Southerners receive nothing for their slaves, and no help repairing the immense damage to their infrastructure.

Stunted southern growth, 1860-1870 map

  Whacked
The upper chart shows growth in wealth for the period between 1850 and 1860. Somewhat surprisingly, all four regions are growing at almost exactly the same rate, averaging 130%. Wealth has more than doubled in these 10 years, everywhere. The lower chart shows the growth rate for the following ten years, including all the war years. In the South, wealth has been cut in half, due largely to the uncompensated loss of its slaves.


Value of southern slaves

  Valuable Assets
It is important to realize just how valuable slaves have become. By the beginning of the Civil War, 13 slaves cost about as much as an entire steam locomotive. While most Southern families own no slaves at all, about 10% own more than six. Almost a quarter of all slaves work on plantations, with the typical cotton plantation owning between 20 and 30 slaves. This is equivalent to the value of two locomotives. The largest 1% of plantations own slaves with a value equivalent to at least 10 locomotives.